Springboks

Actuary shows Steyn's prowess

2013-10-17 17:15
Morné Steyn (Gallo Images)
Cape Town - A Pretoria actuary has found a method of mathematically determining the success rate of rugby's goal-kickers.

"One day, while watching a rugby match, I started wondering where the commentators got their information from," Jurie Nel told the Beeld website.

"I started collecting the data and realised that there were many factors that play a role when it comes to the success rate of a kicker.

"The distance of the kick, the position above sea level of the field and the pressure of the player," he said.

His findings have already been published in the South African Journal of Sport, Physical Science and Recreation.

Nel - who has analysed more than 2 000 kicks - said the distance and angle of the kick play the biggest role in a kicker’s success rate.

He also worked out a method to determine the level of difficulty of each kick on a scale of one out of 10.

Nel created his own website, www.goalkickers.co.za, which shows players with the highest rate of successful kicks in local Currie Cup games as well as internationals.

Bok flyhalf Morné Steyn tops the list of international players with a success rate of 81,4%, while the average difficulty rate of Steyn’s kicks is 5.3 out of 10.

Griquas fullback Gouws Prinsloo heads the Currie Cup list with a difficulty rate is 3.3 out of 10.

"It is easy to think a kicker is good because he succeeds with every kick in front of the poles.

"But a kicker who succeeds with kicks from a sharper angle is certainly the better kicker."

Read more on:    currie cup  |  rugby
NEXT ON SPORT24X

What To Read Next

 

Read News24’s Comments Policy

24.com publishes all comments posted on articles provided that they adhere to our Comments Policy. Should you wish to report a comment for editorial review, please do so by clicking the 'Report Comment' button to the right of each comment.

Comment on this story
25 comments
Comments have been closed for this article.
Live Video Streaming
Video Highlights
Sport Talk

Fixtures
Saturday, 03 November 2018
England v South Africa, Twickenham Stadium 17:00
Saturday, 10 November 2018
France v South Africa, Stade de France 18:00
France v South Africa, Stade de France 22:05
Saturday, 17 November 2018
Scotland v South Africa, BT Murrayfield Stadium 17:00
Scotland v South Africa, BT Murrayfield Stadium 19:20
Saturday, 24 November 2018
Wales v South Africa, Principality Stadium 17:00
Wales v South Africa, Principality Stadium 19:20
Saturday, 21 September 2019
New Zealand v South Africa, Yokohama International Stadium 11:45
Saturday, 28 September 2019
South Africa v Namibia, City of Toyota Stadium 11:45
Previous Results

Date Home Team Result Away Team
Vote

Who is your Fans’ Choice nominee for the BrightRock Players Choice Awards this year?

 
 
Men
Women
Love 2 Meet
Sport24 on Twitter

Follow Sport24 news on Twitter

Featured

The 2018/19 Absa Premiership season is in full swing. Will Mamelodi Sundowns retain their title? Or can one of Kaizer Chiefs, Orlando Pirates, Wits, SuperSport United - or another team perhaps - snatch glory from the Brazilians? Be sure to visit Sport24 for all the latest news!

Latest blogs
 

Twitter Follow Sport24 on Twitter

Facebook "Like" Sport24's Facebook page

WIN Enter and win with Sport24!

BlackBerry Stay in the loop on your BlackBerry

RSS Feeds Sport news delivered really simply.

 
There are new stories on the homepage. Click here to see them.