LIVE

    2012 S15 toughest to predict

    2012-03-14 13:37
    Cape Town - Data from SuperBru, the world’s largest Super Rugby prediction game, suggests that this year’s tournament is more competitive than ever.

    The number of correct match predictions over the first three rounds is the lowest it has ever been, and on average, only 58.7% of rugby fans can accurately predict the outcome of each fixture.

    This compares to 63.1% in 2011, 64.2% in 2010 and 74.8% in 2009, clearly indicating that results are becoming harder to predict and that the tournament is becoming more and more competitive.

    Gone are the days in which one or two teams from each country, such as the Bulls, Crusaders and the Reds, were so dominant - the data suggests that the gulf in quality between the top and bottom teams has been reduced and matches are more tightly contested as a result.

    In 2012, the average winning margin in Rounds 1 to 3 has been just over eight points, compared to over 12 points last year and nearly 15 the year before - and even this season’s eight-point average is skewed by the Bulls’ thrashing of the Cheetahs in Round 2.

    This news is likely to be welcomed by tournament organisers, since more competitive matches should result in increased spectator attendances and viewing figures. The effect has certainly been felt on SuperBru, where participation in 2012 has more than doubled from 2011.

    The reason for the increased competitiveness could be attributed to several factors, such as the number of ‘derby’ matches which tend to produce close matches, the shift in referees’ interpretation in various facets of play, or a new coaching emphasis on defensive solidity.

    Under season, average % of correct SuperBru predictions

    2009 - 74.78%
    2010 - 64.23%
    2011 - 63.18%
    2012 - 58.74%
    Read More On:  super 15

    Read News24’s Comments Policy

    24.com publishes all comments posted on articles provided that they adhere to our Comments Policy. Should you wish to report a comment for editorial review, please do so by clicking the 'Report Comment' button to the right of each comment.

    Comment on this story
    2 comments
    Add your comment
    Comment 0 characters remaining
    Live Video Streaming
    • Blitz
      Mon, 24 Nov 2014 @00:00
    • SS1
      Mon, 24 Nov 2014 @01:00
    • SS2
      Mon, 24 Nov 2014 @02:00
    • SS3
      Mon, 24 Nov 2014 @03:00
    Video Highlights
    Sport Talk
    /Sport

    Fixtures

    07 March 2015
    • Blues v Lions, QBE Stadium 08:35
    • Reds v Waratahs, Suncorp Stadium 10:40
    • Cheetahs v Bulls, Free State Stadium 17:05
    • Stormers v Sharks, Cape Town 19:10
    13 March 2015
    • Hurricanes v Blues, FMG Stadium 08:35
    • Force v Rebels, nib Stadium 13:00
    14 March 2015
    • Crusaders v Lions, AMI Stadium 05:30
    • Highlanders v Waratahs, Forsyth Barr Stadium 08:35
    • Reds v Brumbies, Suncorp Stadium 10:40
    • Stormers v Chiefs, Cape Town 15:00
    • Cheetahs v Sharks, Free State Stadium 17:05

    Logs

    Rank Team P W Pts

    Opinion Poll

    From which country will the 2015 Super Rugby winner hail?

    Monday Quiz Madness!

    TAKE THE QUIZ
    There are new stories on the homepage. Click here to see them.